Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.005306 0.005878 0.006498 0.007221 0.008045 0.008957 0.010048
2025-07-06 0.004291 0.005055 0.005947 0.007075 0.008474 0.010168 0.012397
2025-07-13 0.003771 0.004624 0.005671 0.007068 0.008906 0.011279 0.014631
2025-07-20 0.003472 0.004398 0.005582 0.007235 0.009523 0.012645 0.017340
2025-07-27 0.003157 0.004105 0.005358 0.007172 0.009792 0.013536 0.019483
2025-08-03 0.002922 0.003887 0.005202 0.007168 0.010118 0.014521 0.021882
2025-08-10 0.002701 0.003666 0.005013 0.007087 0.010305 0.015299 0.024048
2025-08-17 0.002548 0.003524 0.004920 0.007129 0.010674 0.016389 0.026882
2025-08-24 0.002381 0.003347 0.004758 0.007047 0.010826 0.017133 0.029214
2025-08-31 0.002201 0.003137 0.004528 0.006831 0.010730 0.017436 0.030771
2025-09-07 0.002088 0.003019 0.004428 0.006813 0.010961 0.018327 0.033588
2025-09-14 0.002039 0.002994 0.004469 0.007029 0.011615 0.020059 0.038395
2025-09-21 0.001912 0.002843 0.004308 0.006899 0.011660 0.020700 0.041140
2025-09-28 0.001793 0.002700 0.004148 0.006760 0.011679 0.021304 0.043960
2025-10-05 0.001711 0.002609 0.004067 0.006754 0.011942 0.022431 0.048223
2025-10-12 0.001665 0.002575 0.004079 0.006912 0.012543 0.024345 0.054847
2025-10-19 0.001586 0.002479 0.003978 0.006853 0.012698 0.025317 0.059294
2025-10-26 0.001523 0.002406 0.003911 0.006849 0.012965 0.026575 0.064829
2025-11-02 0.001453 0.002318 0.003810 0.006772 0.013066 0.027460 0.069535
2025-11-09 0.001406 0.002266 0.003772 0.006812 0.013426 0.029021 0.076676
2025-11-16 0.001345 0.002187 0.003678 0.006734 0.013512 0.029918 0.082009
2025-11-23 0.001271 0.002081 0.003529 0.006530 0.013290 0.029993 0.084695
2025-11-30 0.001227 0.002027 0.003471 0.006513 0.013501 0.031241 0.091748